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USL Championship

Round 1

Live · 70'
MoMonterey Bay FC
2 – 1Kickoff
NeNew Mexico United
— Cardinale Stadium
RWSports forecast41% confidence
Monterey Bay FC41%
Draw26%
New Mexico United33%
Recommended pickMonterey Bay FC win
Predicted score1–1
Over 2.557%
Both teams score61%
The teams

Who's playing

Mo
HomeMonterey Bay FC
Ne
AwayNew Mexico United
Previous meetings

Team head-to-head

Monterey Bay FC wins225%
Draws225%
New Mexico United wins450%
Total meetings8
Monterey Bay FC goals10
New Mexico United goals12
Average goals2.75

Recent meetings

—Monterey Bay FC1-1New Mexico United
—New Mexico United1-0Monterey Bay FC
—New Mexico United3-2Monterey Bay FC
—Monterey Bay FC1-0New Mexico United
—New Mexico United2-1Monterey Bay FC
Confirmed lineups

Players head-to-head

HomeMonterey Bay FC
4-2-3-1
31C. DaltonG
25K. EgwuD
47Q. ElliotD
32Z. FarnsworthD
17O. GlasgowD
4N. RossM
14R. NakamuraM
11W. LeggettM
88S. LletgetM
16J. MontesM
20I. PaulF
AwayNew Mexico United
4-2-3-1
13K. ShakesG
17J. LaCavaD
4K. KellerD
2Niko HämäläinenD
3C. GlosterD
15O. JabangM
19Z. BaileyM
11C. NavaM
21V. NoëlM
31J. QuiahM
10G. HurstF

New Mexico rolling into Monterey desperate for a statement — United's on a tear with four wins in five, while Monterey Bay's been an absolute shambles (0W-1D-4L). 🔥

New Mexico's attacking prowess has been crisp and clinical, dropping four on Lexington and two-plus in most recent outings. Monterey, meanwhile, can't string together results at home — that Orange County loss last time out was rough. The head-to-head favors United too (4 wins in 8 meetings), so they're walking in confident.

Key storylines:

  • New Mexico's front three of J. Rennicks, J. Quiah, and N. Reid-Stephen have been finding the net regularly and will punish Monterey's leaky defence
  • Monterey needs E. Blancas and O. Glasgow to spark something creative in midfield or this turns into a rout fast
  • Home advantage at Cardinale Stadium is basically Monterey's only lifeline — they've been dire on the road

Expected lineups:

  • Monterey Bay FC: J. Jackson, Z. Farnsworth, N. Gordon, J. Garcia, Q. Elliot, R. Nakamura, E. Blancas, O. Glasgow, J. Montes, I. Paul, G. Lomtadze
  • New Mexico United: K. Shakes, Niko Hämäläinen, C. Gloster, T. Blackett, J. Maples, Z. Bailey, D. Harris, G. Hurst, N. Reid-Stephen, J. Quiah, J. Rennicks

Prediction:

New Mexico 2–0 Monterey Bay — United's form is too hot to ignore, and Monterey's been broken. 🏆

In the dugout

Coaches

Monterey Bay FCAlex CoveloSpain
Formation 4-2-3-1Profile balancedDefensive line midPressing 34%
anti footballterrorist fb
New Mexico UnitedDennis SanchezUSA
Formation 4-2-3-1Profile balancedDefensive line highPressing 40%
ball dominantinverted fb
Match information

Fixture details

CompetitionUSL Championship
SeasonUSL Championship 2026
RoundRound 1
VenueCardinale Stadium, Monterey
Stadium capacity6,000 seats
Half-time1–1
Weather18°C · wind 8 km/h
Travel distance1380 km
Match statistics

Live numbers

3.17xG0.22
Market context

Match odds

Home2.29
Draw3.17
Away2.55
Over 1.51.17
Over 2.51.57
Over 3.52.37
Under 1.54.55
Under 2.52.28
Under 3.51.52
BTTS yes1.49
BTTS no2.44
Decimal odds are shown as contextual data, not wagering advice.
BSD prediction

Model analysis

Home 41%Draw 26%Away 33%
Recommended pickMonterey Bay FC win
Modeldc-blend-v1
Predicted scoreMonterey Bay FC 1–1 New Mexico United
Confidence41%
Timeline

Match incidents

90'periodSecond half
66'substitutionMatch update
63'substitutionMatch update
63'substitutionMatch update
55'goalS. Lletget
46'substitutionMatch update
45'periodHT
45'injuryTimeMatch update
44'cardC. Nava
39'cardQ. Elliot
31'goalR. Nakamura
17'cardO. Jabang
6'goalV. Noël